ATP tennis predict — Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Marko Topo

Challenger Clay Hagen challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Oscar Jose Gutierrez

Brazil

13.13%

Marko Topo

Germany

86.87%

Average Odds

4.58 / 1.16

Market probability

20.21% / 79.79%

Why This Prediction?

Marko Topo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1561 vs 1385), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1564 vs 1380) and fewer double faults per game (0.17 vs 0.28).

Player Comparison

1385.4 Elo 1560.7

1380.0 Elo (surface) 1564.2

45 Wins (Challenger) 71

38 Wins (surface) 55

3 Last 15 form 5

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.756 Dominance ratio 0.948

713 Rank 348

33.3 Age 22.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Oscar Jose Gutierrez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Marko Topo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oscar Jose Gutierrez Marko Topo

1st Serve In %

61.2%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

66.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.2%

45.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

6.2%

29.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

22.2%

46.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.09

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

53.3%

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%

68.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%

51.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%

32.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.0%

48.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.46

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oscar Jose Gutierrez Marko Topo

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

59.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

42.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.5%

55.7%

Break Points Converted %

56.5%

46.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Oscar Jose Gutierrez 1 – 0 Marko Topo

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Marko Topo #348

Oscar Jose Gutierrez #713

6-2 6-2

1 Aces 10

3 Double Faults 0

50 Service Points 47

27 First Serve In 27

15 First Serve Won 22

11 Second Serve Won 13

0 Break Points Saved 1

4 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.6

Clay Braunschweig CH · 2022-07-04

R32

Oscar Jose Gutierrez #389

Marko Topo #629

6-2 6-2

1 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 4

41 Service Points 43

30 First Serve In 25

24 First Serve Won 15

5 Second Serve Won 3

0 Break Points Saved 1

1 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Marko Topo — Prediction