ATP tennis predict — Orlando Luz vs Clement Tabur

ATP Clay Estoril · qualification - quarterfinal

Predicted probability

Orlando Luz

Brazil

29.27%

Clement Tabur

France

70.73%

Average Odds

7.83 / 1.07

Market probability

12.02% / 87.98%

Why This Prediction?

Clement Tabur is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1662 vs 1525), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1618 vs 1558) and a stronger serve (68.8% vs 64.2% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1524.6 Elo 1662.5

1558.1 Elo (surface) 1617.7

4 Wins 17

4 Wins (surface) 10

4 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.981 Dominance ratio 1.079

1072 Rank 178

28.4 Age 26.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Orlando Luz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Clement Tabur

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Orlando Luz Clement Tabur

1st Serve In %

58.3%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.7%

72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

56.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.8%

25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.2%

48.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.1%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.3%

64.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.3%

51.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.7%

34.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%

44.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Orlando Luz Clement Tabur

Break Points Saved %

65.5%

60.9%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

32.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.9%

46.5%

Break Points Converted %

32.9%

28.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Orlando Luz 0 – 0 Clement Tabur

Clay Estoril · 2026-07-19

qualification - quarterfinal

Orlando Luz #1072

Clement Tabur #161

7-5 6-3

6 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 1

61 Service Points 59

31 First Serve In 36

23 First Serve Won 26

21 Second Serve Won 9

3 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

7.8 Average Odds 1.1

Orlando Luz vs Clement Tabur — Prediction