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Oriol Roca Batalla vs Stefano Napolitano — Prediction

Challenger Clay Biella challenger · R16 14:30

Predicted probability

Oriol Roca Batalla

Spain

49.35%

Stefano Napolitano

Italy

50.65%

Average Odds

1.78  /  1.95

Market probability

52.28%  /  47.72%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1679.6 Elo 1639.8
1672.7 Elo (surface) 1667.1
178 Wins (Challenger) 199
167 Wins (surface) 114
8 Last 15 form 6
1 Head-to-head wins 2
1.113 Dominance ratio 0.889
318 Rank 283
33.4 Age 31.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Oriol Roca Batalla

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Stefano Napolitano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oriol Roca Batalla Stefano Napolitano

1st Serve In %

64.6%
58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.6%
65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%
48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.7%
30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.8%
49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.29
0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.9%
55.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.2%
71.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.7%
50.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.0%
33.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.4%
47.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.26
0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.13
0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oriol Roca Batalla Stefano Napolitano

Break Points Saved %

50.8%
60.3%

Break Points Converted %

24.6%
37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.1%
58.6%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%
34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Oriol Roca Batalla 1 – 2 Stefano Napolitano

Clay Biella challenger · 2026-09-16

R16

Oriol Roca Batalla #318

Stefano Napolitano #283

2-6 6-3 6-4
10 Aces 6
1 Double Faults 3
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
49 First Serve Won 36
14 Second Serve Won 20
8 Break Points Saved 5
10 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.8 Average Odds 1.9
Clay Perugia CH · 2025-06-09

Q2

Oriol Roca Batalla #360

Stefano Napolitano #604

7-6(2) 6-4
5 Aces 3
0 Double Faults 0
70 Service Points 73
39 First Serve In 52
32 First Serve Won 33
18 Second Serve Won 12
4 Break Points Saved 4
5 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Perugia CH · 2019-07-08

R32

Stefano Napolitano #177

Oriol Roca Batalla #339

6-4 6-0
5 Aces 2
2 Double Faults 3
47 Service Points 48
26 First Serve In 26
21 First Serve Won 15
11 Second Serve Won 5
2 Break Points Saved 0
3 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Ostrava CH · 2016-04-25

R32

Stefano Napolitano #417

Oriol Roca Batalla #256

6-4 6-4
2 Aces 0
3 Double Faults 0
63 Service Points 64
36 First Serve In 47
28 First Serve Won 30
14 Second Serve Won 8
3 Break Points Saved 3
4 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Oriol Roca Batalla — Last 10

L W L W W L W W L W

Stefano Napolitano — Last 10

L W L L L L L L L L