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Oriol Roca Batalla vs Mykyta Mashtakov — Prediction

Challenger Clay Todi challenger · 1. round 16:25

Predicted probability

Mykyta Mashtakov

Ukraine

16.38%

Average Odds

1.30  /  3.27

Market probability

71.55%  /  28.45%

Why This Prediction?

Oriol Roca Batalla is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1613 vs 1440), a higher Elo rating (1603 vs 1430) and a stronger serve (65.9% vs 55.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1603.5 Elo 1430.5
1613.4 Elo (surface) 1440.4
172 Wins (Challenger) 3
161 Wins (surface) 3
9 Last 15 form 3
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.252 Dominance ratio 0.802
342 Rank 654
33.3 Age 27.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Oriol Roca Batalla

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Mykyta Mashtakov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oriol Roca Batalla Mykyta Mashtakov

1st Serve In %

64.6%
68.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.6%
51.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%
25.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.7%
14.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.8%
36.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.29
0.00

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.9%
66.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.2%
68.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.7%
45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.0%
37.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.4%
50.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.26
0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.13
0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oriol Roca Batalla Mykyta Mashtakov

Break Points Saved %

50.8%
46.2%

Break Points Converted %

24.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.1%
59.5%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%
47.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Oriol Roca Batalla 00 Mykyta Mashtakov

Clay Todi challenger · 2026-08-11
6-2 6-4
3 Aces 1
1 Double Faults 1
44 Service Points 73
23 First Serve In 51
19 First Serve Won 27
10 Second Serve Won 8
0 Break Points Saved 5
2 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Oriol Roca Batalla — Last 10

L W L W W L W W L W

Mykyta Mashtakov — Last 10

L W W L W L W W W L