ATP tennis predict — Oriol Roca Batalla vs Luca Potenza

Challenger Clay Catania challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Oriol Roca Batalla

Spain

69.53%

Luca Potenza

Italy

30.47%

Average Odds

1.24 / 3.62

Market probability

74.49% / 25.51%

Why This Prediction?

Oriol Roca Batalla is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1664 vs 1470), a higher Elo rating (1671 vs 1569) and more wins on clay courts (169 vs 23).

Player Comparison

1671.4 Elo 1568.6

1664.4 Elo (surface) 1470.4

180 Wins (Challenger) 58

169 Wins (surface) 23

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.113 Dominance ratio 0.962

312 Rank 528

33.4 Age 26.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Oriol Roca Batalla

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Luca Potenza

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oriol Roca Batalla Luca Potenza

1st Serve In %

64.6%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

67.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.29

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.5%

60.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.7%

65.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.3%

57.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.3%

28.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.5%

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oriol Roca Batalla Luca Potenza

Break Points Saved %

50.8%

—

Break Points Converted %

24.6%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.2%

65.8%

Break Points Converted %

38.6%

49.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Oriol Roca Batalla and Luca Potenza have never played each other.

Oriol Roca Batalla vs Luca Potenza — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Oriol Roca Batalla — Last 10

Luca Potenza — Last 10