ATP tennis predict — Oriol Roca Batalla vs Francesco Passaro

Challenger Clay Todi challenger · R16 18:30

Predicted probability

Oriol Roca Batalla

Spain

32.91%

Francesco Passaro

Italy

67.09%

Average Odds

2.47 / 1.49

Market probability

37.63% / 62.37%

Why This Prediction?

Francesco Passaro is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1678 vs 1610), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1697 vs 1620) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1609.8 Elo 1677.6

1620.0 Elo (surface) 1697.3

173 Wins (Challenger) 120

162 Wins (surface) 102

9 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 2

1.242 Dominance ratio 0.797

342 Rank 219

33.3 Age 25.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Oriol Roca Batalla

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Francesco Passaro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oriol Roca Batalla Francesco Passaro

1st Serve In %

64.6%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.6%

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.7%

32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.8%

49.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.9%

61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.2%

70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.7%

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.0%

25.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.4%

34.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.13

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oriol Roca Batalla Francesco Passaro

Break Points Saved %

50.8%

57.9%

Break Points Converted %

24.6%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.1%

56.9%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

48.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Oriol Roca Batalla 1 – 2 Francesco Passaro

Clay Todi challenger · 2026-08-13

R16

Francesco Passaro #219

Oriol Roca Batalla #342

6-4 6-1

3 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 2

60 Service Points 40

31 First Serve In 22

21 First Serve Won 20

12 Second Serve Won 12

1 Break Points Saved 0

5 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Clay Targu Mures challenger · 2026-06-23

1. round

Francesco Passaro #190

Oriol Roca Batalla #316

7-6 6-4

3 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 3

63 Service Points 69

40 First Serve In 38

31 First Serve Won 27

9 Second Serve Won 21

2 Break Points Saved 4

4 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.6

Clay Parma 3 challenger · 2026-06-16

1. round

Oriol Roca Batalla #320

Francesco Passaro #178

6-4 6-0

4 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 3

53 Service Points 35

32 First Serve In 22

22 First Serve Won 9

11 Second Serve Won 5

4 Break Points Saved 1

5 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.5

Clay Sassuolo CH · 2025-06-16

R16

Francesco Passaro #143

Oriol Roca Batalla #346

7-6(2) 6-3

5 Aces 0

4 Double Faults 4

75 Service Points 77

45 First Serve In 50

33 First Serve Won 30

18 Second Serve Won 13

3 Break Points Saved 5

4 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Oriol Roca Batalla vs Francesco Passaro — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Oriol Roca Batalla — Last 10

Francesco Passaro — Last 10