ATP tennis predict — Omar Jasika vs Yaojie Zeng

Challenger Hard Shanghai challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:30

Predicted probability

Omar Jasika

Australia

65.23%

Yaojie Zeng

China

34.77%

Average Odds

1.20 / 4.22

Market probability

77.86% / 22.14%

Why This Prediction?

Omar Jasika is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1552 vs 1403), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1560 vs 1413) and more wins on hard courts (105 vs 6).

Player Comparison

1552.0 Elo 1402.9

1560.4 Elo (surface) 1413.2

108 Wins (Challenger) 6

105 Wins (surface) 6

5 Last 15 form 5

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.960 Dominance ratio 0.742

408 Rank 976

29.3 Age 24.6

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Omar Jasika

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-08-30.

Yaojie Zeng

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Omar Jasika Yaojie Zeng

1st Serve In %

68.6%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

55.3%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.18

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.9%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.1%

66.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.0%

52.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%

21.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.0%

41.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Omar Jasika Yaojie Zeng

Break Points Saved %

43.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

26.8%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

70.0%

47.2%

Break Points Converted %

37.9%

31.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Omar Jasika 1 – 0 Yaojie Zeng

Hard Shanghai challenger · 2026-09-07

qualification - round of 16

Omar Jasika #408

Yaojie Zeng #976

7-6 6-3

2 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 2

59 Service Points 80

47 First Serve In 57

38 First Serve Won 41

7 Second Serve Won 8

2 Break Points Saved 2

3 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.2

Hard Jiujiang CH · 2026-04-27

Q1

Omar Jasika #463

Yaojie Zeng #919

6-3 7-6(4)

6 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 1

84 Service Points 74

62 First Serve In 45

48 First Serve Won 32

9 Second Serve Won 13

4 Break Points Saved 0

5 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Omar Jasika vs Yaojie Zeng — Prediction