ATP tennis predict — Omar Jasika vs Timofei Derepasko

Challenger Hard Wuning 3 challenger · QF 05:00

Predicted probability

Omar Jasika

Australia

51.18%

Timofei Derepasko

Russia

48.82%

Average Odds

1.27 / 3.53

Market probability

73.54% / 26.46%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1543.3 Elo 1652.3

1534.8 Elo (surface) 1652.7

115 Wins (Challenger) 9

112 Wins (surface) 9

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.182 Dominance ratio 1.125

422 Rank 662

29.4 Age 19.8

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Omar Jasika

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-08-30.

Timofei Derepasko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Omar Jasika Timofei Derepasko

1st Serve In %

68.6%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

55.3%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.18

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

78.9%

59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.6%

73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

65.2%

52.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.5%

37.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

65.8%

47.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.09

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Omar Jasika Timofei Derepasko

Break Points Saved %

43.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

26.8%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.4%

65.5%

Break Points Converted %

51.6%

36.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Omar Jasika and Timofei Derepasko have never played each other.

Omar Jasika vs Timofei Derepasko — Prediction