ATP tennis predict — Omar Jasika vs Petr Bar Biryukov

Challenger Hard Jinan challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:40

Predicted probability

Omar Jasika

Australia

37.35%

Petr Bar Biryukov

Russia

62.65%

Average Odds

1.71 / 2.05

Market probability

54.52% / 45.48%

Why This Prediction?

Petr Bar Biryukov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1636 vs 1543), a higher Elo rating (1601 vs 1550) and a stronger serve (63.8% vs 50.0% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1550.2 Elo 1601.4

1542.8 Elo (surface) 1636.0

116 Wins (Challenger) 55

113 Wins (surface) 53

10 Last 15 form 6

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.182 Dominance ratio 1.423

422 Rank 278

29.4 Age 24.6

left Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Omar Jasika

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-08-30.

Petr Bar Biryukov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Omar Jasika Petr Bar Biryukov

1st Serve In %

68.6%

64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

55.3%

76.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.4%

45.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%

13.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

26.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

1.13

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

—

64.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

76.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

65.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

52.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Omar Jasika Petr Bar Biryukov

Break Points Saved %

43.0%

82.9%

Break Points Converted %

26.8%

0.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.1%

64.5%

Break Points Converted %

46.6%

42.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Omar Jasika 1 – 0 Petr Bar Biryukov

Hard Yokohama CH · 2024-11-18

Q2

Omar Jasika #178

Petr Bar Biryukov #424

6-3 7-5

2 Aces 16

1 Double Faults 5

62 Service Points 71

47 First Serve In 44

34 First Serve Won 28

10 Second Serve Won 13

2 Break Points Saved 9

3 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Omar Jasika vs Petr Bar Biryukov — Prediction