ATP tennis predict — Omar Jasika vs Hiroki Moriya

Challenger Hard Jingshan challenger · qualification - round of 16 05:00

Predicted probability

Omar Jasika

Australia

56.57%

Hiroki Moriya

Japan

43.43%

Average Odds

1.60 / 2.23

Market probability

58.22% / 41.78%

Why This Prediction?

Omar Jasika is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (66.4% vs 62.3% of service points won), fewer double faults per game (0.09 vs 0.17) and a better head-to-head record against Hiroki Moriya (1-0).

Player Comparison

1484.9 Elo 1517.9

1475.8 Elo (surface) 1497.8

111 Wins (Challenger) 309

108 Wins (surface) 277

6 Last 15 form 6

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.182 Dominance ratio 1.100

428 Rank 500

29.4 Age 36.0

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Omar Jasika

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-08-30.

Hiroki Moriya

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Omar Jasika Hiroki Moriya

1st Serve In %

68.6%

64.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

55.3%

64.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.4%

51.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%

30.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

46.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.11

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.9%

62.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.1%

71.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.0%

49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%

32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.0%

55.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Omar Jasika Hiroki Moriya

Break Points Saved %

43.0%

66.3%

Break Points Converted %

26.8%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

70.0%

58.7%

Break Points Converted %

37.9%

38.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Omar Jasika 1 – 0 Hiroki Moriya

Hard Kobe CH · 2015-11-09

R32

Omar Jasika #330

Hiroki Moriya #193

6-1 6-0

1 Aces 0

5 Double Faults 3

52 Service Points 36

29 First Serve In 16

20 First Serve Won 7

11 Second Serve Won 3

5 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Omar Jasika vs Hiroki Moriya — Prediction