ATP tennis predict — Omar Jasika vs Filip Peliwo

Challenger Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · qualification - round of 16 06:40

Predicted probability

Omar Jasika

Australia

61.24%

Filip Peliwo

Poland

38.76%

Average Odds

1.14 / 4.99

Market probability

81.40% / 18.60%

Why This Prediction?

Omar Jasika is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1566 vs 1452), a higher Elo rating (1556 vs 1478) and fewer double faults per game (0.11 vs 0.15).

Player Comparison

1556.1 Elo 1478.3

1565.9 Elo (surface) 1452.3

107 Wins (Challenger) 115

104 Wins (surface) 101

5 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.868 Dominance ratio 1.003

408 Rank 560

29.3 Age 32.6

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Omar Jasika

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-08-30.

Filip Peliwo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Omar Jasika Filip Peliwo

1st Serve In %

68.6%

55.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

55.3%

62.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.4%

40.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.9%

65.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.1%

68.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.0%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%

25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.0%

53.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Omar Jasika Filip Peliwo

Break Points Saved %

43.0%

54.8%

Break Points Converted %

26.8%

42.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

70.0%

65.7%

Break Points Converted %

37.9%

35.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Omar Jasika 0 – 1 Filip Peliwo

Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · 2026-08-31

qualification - round of 16

Omar Jasika #408

Filip Peliwo #560

6-2 6-3

1 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 1

70 Service Points 46

41 First Serve In 28

32 First Serve Won 19

16 Second Serve Won 7

5 Break Points Saved 4

5 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 5.0

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki CH · 2024-08-12

Q2

Filip Peliwo #583

Omar Jasika #248

5-7 6-4 6-0

2 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 5

79 Service Points 94

53 First Serve In 62

38 First Serve Won 31

13 Second Serve Won 16

1 Break Points Saved 7

5 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Omar Jasika vs Filip Peliwo — Prediction