ATP tennis predict — Omar Jasika vs Dane Sweeny

Challenger Hard Jingshan challenger · 1. round 08:00

Predicted probability

Omar Jasika

Australia

29.39%

Dane Sweeny

Australia

70.61%

Average Odds

2.70 / 1.43

Market probability

34.62% / 65.38%

Why This Prediction?

Dane Sweeny is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1708 vs 1512), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1613 vs 1504) and a stronger return game (42.4% vs 39.8% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1512.2 Elo 1708.2

1504.1 Elo (surface) 1613.5

113 Wins (Challenger) 72

110 Wins (surface) 66

8 Last 15 form 6

2 Head-to-head wins 0

1.182 Dominance ratio 1.167

428 Rank 110

29.4 Age 25.6

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Omar Jasika

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-08-30.

Dane Sweeny

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-27.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Omar Jasika Dane Sweeny

1st Serve In %

68.6%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

55.3%

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.4%

52.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%

35.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

51.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.7%

64.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.1%

69.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

62.0%

55.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.9%

36.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

63.8%

51.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.09

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Omar Jasika Dane Sweeny

Break Points Saved %

43.0%

53.4%

Break Points Converted %

26.8%

39.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.2%

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

43.7%

42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Omar Jasika 2 – 0 Dane Sweeny

Hard Jingshan challenger · 2026-09-30

1. round

Dane Sweeny #110

Omar Jasika #428

6-2 3-6 6-3

4 Aces 2

7 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

42 First Serve Won 35

11 Second Serve Won 15

7 Break Points Saved 2

11 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Hard Burnie CH · 2024-01-29

QF

Omar Jasika #293

Dane Sweeny #233

6-3 6-3

0 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 3

46 Service Points 57

31 First Serve In 30

19 First Serve Won 16

10 Second Serve Won 12

0 Break Points Saved 3

2 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Bloomfield Hills CH · 2023-07-03

R32

Omar Jasika #286

Dane Sweeny #232

7-5 6-1

0 Aces 1

4 Double Faults 4

55 Service Points 54

32 First Serve In 28

24 First Serve Won 13

12 Second Serve Won 15

1 Break Points Saved 5

3 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Omar Jasika vs Dane Sweeny — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Omar Jasika — Last 10

Dane Sweeny — Last 10