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Omar Jasika vs Chase Ferguson — Prediction

Challenger Hard Jingshan challenger · qualification - 1. round 04:05

Predicted probability

Omar Jasika

Australia

69.61%

Chase Ferguson

Australia

30.39%

Average Odds

1.19  /  4.25

Market probability

78.12%  /  21.88%

Why This Prediction?

Omar Jasika is the favorite because he has more career match wins (111 vs 3), a stronger serve (66.4% vs 60.0% of service points won) and more wins on hard courts (108 vs 3).

Player Comparison

1484.9 Elo 1483.7
1475.8 Elo (surface) 1482.4
111 Wins (Challenger) 3
108 Wins (surface) 3
6 Last 15 form 3
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.182 Dominance ratio 0.843
428 Rank 585
29.4 Age 27.7
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Omar Jasika

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-08-30.

Chase Ferguson

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Omar Jasika Chase Ferguson

1st Serve In %

68.6%
—

1st Serve Points Won %

55.3%
—

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.4%
—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%
—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%
—

Aces per Service Game

0.18
—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.9%
70.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.1%
65.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.0%
54.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%
27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.0%
44.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.27
0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15
0.09

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Omar Jasika Chase Ferguson

Break Points Saved %

43.0%
—

Break Points Converted %

26.8%
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

70.0%
62.5%

Break Points Converted %

37.9%
25.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Omar Jasika and Chase Ferguson have never played each other.

Omar Jasika — Last 10

L L L W W W L W W L

Chase Ferguson — Last 6

L L W L W W