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Omar Jasika vs Aoran Wang — Prediction

Challenger Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · qualification - 1. round 08:00

Predicted probability

Omar Jasika

Australia

76.46%

Aoran Wang

China

23.54%

Average Odds

1.13  /  5.18

Market probability

82.09%  /  17.91%

Why This Prediction?

Omar Jasika is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1551 vs 1297), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1561 vs 1307) and more wins on hard courts (103 vs 11).

Player Comparison

1551.0 Elo 1297.3
1560.7 Elo (surface) 1307.1
106 Wins (Challenger) 11
103 Wins (surface) 11
4 Last 15 form 4
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.825 Dominance ratio 0.736
402 Rank 996
29.3 Age 29.6
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Omar Jasika

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-08-30.

Aoran Wang

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Omar Jasika Aoran Wang

1st Serve In %

68.6%
53.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

55.3%
71.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.4%
36.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%
21.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%
40.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.18
0.69

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26
0.54

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.9%
57.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.1%
74.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.0%
45.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%
19.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.0%
37.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.27
1.13

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15
0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Omar Jasika Aoran Wang

Break Points Saved %

43.0%
51.6%

Break Points Converted %

26.8%
30.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

70.0%
58.6%

Break Points Converted %

37.9%
38.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Omar Jasika 00 Aoran Wang

Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · 2026-08-30

qualification - 1. round

Omar Jasika #408

Aoran Wang #1004

7-6 6-2
6 Aces 15
0 Double Faults 5
55 Service Points 63
43 First Serve In 44
35 First Serve Won 32
9 Second Serve Won 6
1 Break Points Saved 2
1 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.1 Average Odds 5.2

Omar Jasika — Last 10

L L L W W W L W W L

Aoran Wang — Last 10

L L L L L L L L L W