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Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni vs Michael Bassem Sobhy — Prediction

Challenger Hard Columbus 3 challenger · qualification - 1. round 02:30

Predicted probability

Average Odds

1.29  /  3.35

Market probability

72.20%  /  27.80%

Why This Prediction?

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1509 vs 1374), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1529 vs 1448) and more career match wins (89 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1508.9 Elo 1373.6
1528.8 Elo (surface) 1448.1
89 Wins (Challenger) 2
70 Wins (surface) 2
5 Last 15 form 2
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.309 Dominance ratio 0.722
443 Rank 626
27.1 Age 22.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Michael Bassem Sobhy

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni Michael Bassem Sobhy

1st Serve In %

62.0%
52.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.4%
62.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%
58.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.8%
34.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.6%
46.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.35
0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.52
0.09

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.4%
57.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%
65.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%
47.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.8%
27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.7%
41.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.47
0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni Michael Bassem Sobhy

Break Points Saved %

65.4%
50.0%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%
37.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%
56.2%

Break Points Converted %

57.4%
32.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni and Michael Bassem Sobhy have never played each other.

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni — Last 10

L W L W L L W L L W

Michael Bassem Sobhy — Last 10

L L L L W L L W L W