ATP tennis predict — Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni vs Evan Zhu

Challenger Hard San Diego 2 challenger · qualification - round of 16 20:00

Predicted probability

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni

USA

46.93%

Evan Zhu

USA

53.07%

Average Odds

2.01 / 1.72

Market probability

46.11% / 53.89%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1522.4 Elo 1559.6

1544.2 Elo (surface) 1569.8

89 Wins (Challenger) 74

70 Wins (surface) 61

5 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.309 Dominance ratio 1.041

453 Rank 513

27.1 Age 28.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Evan Zhu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni Evan Zhu

1st Serve In %

62.0%

58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.4%

60.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.8%

32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.6%

44.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.52

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.4%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.8%

37.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.7%

58.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni Evan Zhu

Break Points Saved %

65.4%

48.3%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%

35.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

56.8%

Break Points Converted %

57.4%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni 0 – 1 Evan Zhu

Hard San Diego 2 challenger · 2026-09-21

qualification - round of 16

Evan Zhu #513

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni #453

6-2 6-4

2 Aces 4

5 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

22 First Serve Won 26

6 Second Serve Won 12

0 Break Points Saved 0

3 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.0

Hard Winnipeg CH · 2022-07-25

QF

Evan Zhu #372

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni #695

4-6 6-3 6-4

4 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 6

96 Service Points 89

65 First Serve In 52

43 First Serve Won 33

15 Second Serve Won 18

5 Break Points Saved 7

8 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni vs Evan Zhu — Prediction