ATP tennis predict — Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni vs Duncan Chan

Challenger Hard Winnipeg challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni

USA

48.01%

Duncan Chan

Canada

51.99%

Average Odds

2.18 / 1.57

Market probability

41.87% / 58.13%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1453.7 Elo 1527.3

1471.4 Elo (surface) 1494.3

85 Wins (Challenger) 4

68 Wins (surface) 4

9 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.100 Dominance ratio 0.868

454 Rank 664

26.9 Age 21.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Duncan Chan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni Duncan Chan

1st Serve In %

62.0%

48.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.4%

66.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

54.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.8%

30.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.6%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.52

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.4%

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

70.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%

45.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.8%

32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.7%

51.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni Duncan Chan

Break Points Saved %

65.4%

57.9%

Break Points Converted %

30.0%

60.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

55.2%

Break Points Converted %

57.4%

40.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni 0 – 0 Duncan Chan

Hard Winnipeg challenger · 2026-07-19

qualification - 1. round

Duncan Chan #665

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni #453

6-3 6-4

0 Aces 1

5 Double Faults 5

66 Service Points 64

33 First Serve In 44

21 First Serve Won 30

13 Second Serve Won 8

1 Break Points Saved 5

6 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni vs Duncan Chan — Prediction