ATP tennis predict — Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni vs Carl Emil Overbeck

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni

USA

42.31%

Carl Emil Overbeck

Denmark

57.69%

Average Odds

3.20 / 1.31

Market probability

29.05% / 70.95%

Why This Prediction?

Carl Emil Overbeck is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1569 vs 1442) and a higher Elo rating (1550 vs 1427).

Player Comparison

1427.3 Elo 1549.6

1442.1 Elo (surface) 1569.2

87 Wins (Challenger) 20

68 Wins (surface) 20

6 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.218 Dominance ratio 1.088

457 Rank 296

27.1 Age 25.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Carl Emil Overbeck

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni Carl Emil Overbeck

1st Serve In %

62.0%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

66.4%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.6%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.35

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.52

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.4%

64.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

66.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%

51.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.8%

35.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.7%

53.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni Carl Emil Overbeck

Break Points Saved %

65.4%

—

Break Points Converted %

30.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

54.4%

Break Points Converted %

57.4%

48.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni 0 – 0 Carl Emil Overbeck

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-09-07

1. round

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni #457

Carl Emil Overbeck #296

6-2 7-5

9 Aces 4

0 Double Faults 3

56 Service Points 60

35 First Serve In 40

25 First Serve Won 26

13 Second Serve Won 7

1 Break Points Saved 1

2 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.2 Average Odds 1.3

Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni vs Carl Emil Overbeck — Prediction