ATP tennis predict — Olle Wallin vs Tiago Cacao

Challenger Clay Braga challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:00

Predicted probability

Olle Wallin

Sweden

78.31%

Tiago Cacao

Portugal

21.69%

Average Odds

1.48 / 2.49

Market probability

62.72% / 37.28%

Why This Prediction?

Olle Wallin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1660 vs 1434), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1669 vs 1472) and a stronger serve (61.9% vs 54.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1659.7 Elo 1434.2

1669.3 Elo (surface) 1472.1

32 Wins (Challenger) 17

26 Wins (surface) 17

9 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.055 Dominance ratio 0.968

415 Rank 643

None Age 28.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Olle Wallin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Tiago Cacao

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-08-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Olle Wallin Tiago Cacao

1st Serve In %

62.3%

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.3%

56.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.7%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

23.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.0%

44.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.11

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.1%

60.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.7%

66.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%

47.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.2%

30.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.5%

47.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Olle Wallin Tiago Cacao

Break Points Saved %

38.5%

36.4%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

66.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.7%

65.6%

Break Points Converted %

38.4%

40.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Olle Wallin and Tiago Cacao have never played each other.

Olle Wallin vs Tiago Cacao — Prediction