ATP tennis predict — Olle Wallin vs Roberto Carballes Baena

Challenger Clay Bonn challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Olle Wallin

Sweden

54.43%

Roberto Carballes Baena

Spain

45.57%

Average Odds

2.67 / 1.43

Market probability

34.88% / 65.12%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1675.1 Elo 1689.1

1698.9 Elo (surface) 1752.9

24 Wins (Challenger) 268

20 Wins (surface) 251

11 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.084 Dominance ratio 0.844

386 Rank 176

None Age 33.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Olle Wallin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Roberto Carballes Baena

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Olle Wallin Roberto Carballes Baena

1st Serve In %

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.3%

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.7%

54.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

27.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.0%

55.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.3%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

48.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.1%

31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

54.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Olle Wallin Roberto Carballes Baena

Break Points Saved %

38.5%

59.2%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

34.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.7%

55.6%

Break Points Converted %

37.2%

55.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Olle Wallin 0 – 0 Roberto Carballes Baena

Clay Bonn challenger · 2026-07-29

R16

Olle Wallin #386

Roberto Carballes Baena #176

6-3 1-6 6-1

12 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 4

76 Service Points 75

42 First Serve In 52

32 First Serve Won 34

15 Second Serve Won 9

4 Break Points Saved 6

7 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.7 Average Odds 1.4

Olle Wallin vs Roberto Carballes Baena — Prediction