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Olle Wallin vs Niccolo Catini — Prediction

Challenger Clay Como challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Olle Wallin

Sweden

91.26%

Niccolo Catini

Italy

8.74%

Average Odds

1.10  /  5.99

Market probability

84.49%  /  15.51%

Why This Prediction?

Olle Wallin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1640 vs 1378), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1682 vs 1365) and more career match wins (27 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1639.7 Elo 1378.0
1682.1 Elo (surface) 1365.2
27 Wins (Challenger) 0
21 Wins (surface) 0
10 Last 15 form 0
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.096 Dominance ratio 0.789
409 Rank 878
None Age 28.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Olle Wallin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Niccolo Catini

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Olle Wallin Niccolo Catini

1st Serve In %

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.3%
64.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%
61.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%
53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.1%
26.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%
50.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.36
0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28
0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Olle Wallin Niccolo Catini

Break Points Saved %

38.5%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.7%
57.4%

Break Points Converted %

37.2%
24.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Olle Wallin 00 Niccolo Catini

Clay Como challenger · 2026-08-30

qualification - 1. round

Olle Wallin #414

Niccolo Catini #893

4-6 6-0 6-3
4 Aces 2
2 Double Faults 0
78 Service Points 84
50 First Serve In 59
41 First Serve Won 35
14 Second Serve Won 12
2 Break Points Saved 7
3 Break Points Faced 11
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.1 Average Odds 6.0

Olle Wallin — Last 10

L W W L W W L W W L

Niccolo Catini — Last 7

L L L L L L L