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Olle Wallin vs Lukas Neumayer — Prediction

Challenger Clay Braga challenger · R16 12:30

Predicted probability

Olle Wallin

Sweden

39.48%

Lukas Neumayer

Austria

60.52%

Average Odds

2.94  /  1.36

Market probability

31.63%  /  68.37%

Why This Prediction?

Lukas Neumayer is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1732 vs 1698), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1733 vs 1713) and more wins on clay courts (110 vs 28).

Player Comparison

1698.5 Elo 1732.0
1713.5 Elo (surface) 1733.0
34 Wins (Challenger) 120
28 Wins (surface) 110
9 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.055 Dominance ratio 0.846
423 Rank 180
None Age 24.1
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Olle Wallin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–3L · 62.5%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Lukas Neumayer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–2L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–5L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Olle Wallin Lukas Neumayer

1st Serve In %

62.3%
62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.3%
72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.7%
55.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%
29.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.0%
53.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.46
0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00
0.14

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.7%
57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%
59.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.0%
44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.4%
29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.3%
30.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.36
0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27
0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Olle Wallin Lukas Neumayer

Break Points Saved %

38.5%
63.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%
43.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.9%
56.0%

Break Points Converted %

35.4%
52.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Olle Wallin and Lukas Neumayer have never played each other.

Olle Wallin — Last 10

W W W L L W W L W W

Lukas Neumayer — Last 10

W L W W L W W L W L