ATP tennis predict — Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Giustino

Challenger Clay Bonn challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Olle Wallin

Sweden

58.34%

Lorenzo Giustino

Italy

41.66%

Average Odds

2.05 / 1.71

Market probability

45.48% / 54.52%

Why This Prediction?

Olle Wallin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1656 vs 1559), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1676 vs 1599) and a stronger return game (38.9% vs 38.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1656.2 Elo 1559.5

1675.6 Elo (surface) 1598.5

23 Wins (Challenger) 243

19 Wins (surface) 171

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.005 Dominance ratio 0.956

386 Rank 201

None Age 34.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Olle Wallin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Lorenzo Giustino

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Olle Wallin Lorenzo Giustino

1st Serve In %

62.3%

57.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.3%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.7%

47.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

27.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.0%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00

0.42

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.3%

57.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

75.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

47.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.1%

28.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

47.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Olle Wallin Lorenzo Giustino

Break Points Saved %

38.5%

49.1%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.7%

45.1%

Break Points Converted %

37.2%

39.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Olle Wallin 0 – 0 Lorenzo Giustino

Clay Bonn challenger · 2026-07-28

1. round

Olle Wallin #386

Lorenzo Giustino #201

3-6 6-3 6-2

5 Aces 10

5 Double Faults 7

71 Service Points 85

43 First Serve In 43

39 First Serve Won 32

11 Second Serve Won 17

4 Break Points Saved 4

6 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.7

Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Giustino — Prediction