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Olle Wallin vs Johan Nikles — Prediction

Challenger Clay Como challenger · 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Olle Wallin

Sweden

67.77%

Johan Nikles

Switzerland

32.23%

Average Odds

1.39  /  2.82

Market probability

66.98%  /  33.02%

Why This Prediction?

Olle Wallin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1664 vs 1531), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1705 vs 1558) and a stronger serve (65.5% vs 55.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1664.1 Elo 1530.7
1704.7 Elo (surface) 1558.1
29 Wins (Challenger) 56
23 Wins (surface) 48
11 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.225 Dominance ratio 0.982
414 Rank 424
None Age 29.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Olle Wallin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Johan Nikles

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Olle Wallin Johan Nikles

1st Serve In %

62.3%
60.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.3%
58.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.7%
48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%
30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.0%
50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.46
0.10

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.3%
61.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%
69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%
45.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.1%
42.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%
55.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.36
0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28
0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Olle Wallin Johan Nikles

Break Points Saved %

38.5%
57.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%
41.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.7%
60.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.2%
51.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Olle Wallin 00 Johan Nikles

Clay Como challenger · 2026-09-01

1. round

Johan Nikles #424

Olle Wallin #414

6-4 3-6 6-4
5 Aces 3
2 Double Faults 2
90 Service Points 93
59 First Serve In 61
39 First Serve Won 39
14 Second Serve Won 16
7 Break Points Saved 5
11 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.8 Average Odds 1.4

Olle Wallin — Last 10

L W W L W W L W W L

Johan Nikles — Last 10

L W W L W W W W W L