ATP tennis predict — Olle Wallin vs Christopher Papa

Challenger Hard Hamburg challenger · qualification - 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Olle Wallin

Sweden

67.43%

Christopher Papa

USA

32.57%

Average Odds

1.03 / 9.71

Market probability

90.41% / 9.59%

Why This Prediction?

Olle Wallin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1655 vs 1472), a stronger return game (42.2% vs 36.5% of return points won) and better recent form (3 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1655.0 Elo 1472.0

1469.5 Elo (surface) 1559.2

25 Wins (Challenger) 6

4 Wins (surface) 5

11 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.181 Dominance ratio 1.034

407 Rank 1046

None Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Olle Wallin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Christopher Papa

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Olle Wallin Christopher Papa

1st Serve In %

62.3%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

68.3%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.0%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.46

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.3%

59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

54.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.1%

31.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Olle Wallin Christopher Papa

Break Points Saved %

38.5%

—

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.7%

68.4%

Break Points Converted %

37.2%

35.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Olle Wallin 0 – 0 Christopher Papa

Hard Hamburg challenger · 2026-08-09

qualification - 1. round

Olle Wallin #407

Christopher Papa #1046

6-2 1-6 7-5

10 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 6

82 Service Points 94

50 First Serve In 48

38 First Serve Won 35

11 Second Serve Won 22

4 Break Points Saved 7

7 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 9.7

Olle Wallin vs Christopher Papa — Prediction