ATP tennis predict — Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain

Challenger Hard Roehampton challenger · F 13:00

Predicted probability

Oliver Tarvet

Great Britain

61.09%

Lucas Poullain

France

38.91%

Average Odds

1.25 / 3.66

Market probability

74.54% / 25.46%

Why This Prediction?

Oliver Tarvet is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (62.5% vs 60.6% of service points won), a higher Elo rating (1731 vs 1715) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1731.2 Elo 1714.6

1643.0 Elo (surface) 1685.3

11 Wins (Challenger) 70

9 Wins (surface) 60

9 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.886 Dominance ratio 1.073

380 Rank 369

22.8 Age 30.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Oliver Tarvet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Lucas Poullain

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oliver Tarvet Lucas Poullain

1st Serve In %

59.3%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

75.8%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.5%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.46

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.5%

61.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

63.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

44.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.3%

33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.1%

58.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oliver Tarvet Lucas Poullain

Break Points Saved %

70.2%

—

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.9%

52.7%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

46.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Oliver Tarvet 0 – 0 Lucas Poullain

Hard Roehampton challenger · 2026-08-22

F

Oliver Tarvet #380

Lucas Poullain #369

6-3 6-2

8 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 1

63 Service Points 55

37 First Serve In 40

28 First Serve Won 19

9 Second Serve Won 4

7 Break Points Saved 3

10 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.7

Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullain — Prediction