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Oliver Okonkwo vs Shunsuke Mitsui — Prediction

Challenger Hard Columbus 3 challenger · qualification - round of 16 16:00

Predicted probability

Oliver Okonkwo

Great Britain

39.62%

Shunsuke Mitsui

Japan

60.38%

Average Odds

3.28  /  1.30

Market probability

28.38%  /  71.62%

Why This Prediction?

Shunsuke Mitsui is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1514 vs 1409), more wins on hard courts (9 vs 3) and a stronger return game (40.9% vs 30.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1540.5 Elo 1514.0
1408.6 Elo (surface) 1514.0
6 Wins (Challenger) 9
3 Wins (surface) 9
6 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.816 Dominance ratio 1.141
910 Rank 534
26.5 Age 24.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Oliver Okonkwo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Shunsuke Mitsui

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oliver Okonkwo Shunsuke Mitsui

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

67.1%
58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.3%
69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%
55.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.4%
30.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.8%
50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.46
0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oliver Okonkwo Shunsuke Mitsui

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%
58.7%

Break Points Converted %

26.5%
46.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Oliver Okonkwo and Shunsuke Mitsui have never played each other.

Oliver Okonkwo — Last 10

W L W L W W L L L L

Shunsuke Mitsui — Last 10

W L L W L L W W L W