← Back to Predictions

Oliver Okonkwo vs Luca Staeheli — Prediction

Challenger Hard Columbus 3 challenger · 1. round 17:30

Predicted probability

Oliver Okonkwo

Great Britain

42.44%

Luca Staeheli

Switzerland

57.56%

Average Odds

-  /  -

Market probability

-  /  -

Why This Prediction?

Luca Staeheli is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1641 vs 1575), a stronger return game (49.2% vs 30.4% of return points won) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1538 vs 1465).

Player Comparison

1575.4 Elo 1640.8
1464.9 Elo (surface) 1538.3
7 Wins (Challenger) 15
4 Wins (surface) 4
7 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.816 Dominance ratio 1.330
910 Rank 448
26.5 Age 26.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Oliver Okonkwo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Luca Staeheli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–3L · 62.5%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oliver Okonkwo Luca Staeheli

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

67.9%
60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%
73.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.0%
42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.5%
38.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.1%
51.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.44
0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oliver Okonkwo Luca Staeheli

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%
69.6%

Break Points Converted %

28.6%
55.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Oliver Okonkwo and Luca Staeheli have never played each other.

Oliver Okonkwo — Last 10

W W L W L W W L L L

Luca Staeheli — Last 10

W W L L W W L W W L