ATP tennis predict — Oliver Crawford vs Alex Marti Pujolras

Challenger Hard Segovia challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Oliver Crawford

Great Britain

70.84%

Alex Marti Pujolras

Spain

29.16%

Average Odds

1.09 / 6.76

Market probability

86.11% / 13.89%

Why This Prediction?

Oliver Crawford is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1584 vs 1485), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1585 vs 1511) and a stronger serve (63.0% vs 55.2% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1584.3 Elo 1485.1

1584.8 Elo (surface) 1511.1

74 Wins (Challenger) 38

38 Wins (surface) 0

8 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.076 Dominance ratio 0.997

237 Rank 517

27.2 Age 27.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Oliver Crawford

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Alex Marti Pujolras

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–6L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oliver Crawford Alex Marti Pujolras

1st Serve In %

58.1%

58.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.2%

66.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.6%

30.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.4%

48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

0.42

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.4%

61.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

65.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.3%

45.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.5%

30.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.9%

52.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.47

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oliver Crawford Alex Marti Pujolras

Break Points Saved %

60.6%

45.8%

Break Points Converted %

42.3%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.9%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

42.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Oliver Crawford 0 – 0 Alex Marti Pujolras

Hard Segovia challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Oliver Crawford #237

Alex Marti Pujolras #517

6-3 6-4

8 Aces 3

6 Double Faults 1

58 Service Points 51

40 First Serve In 40

26 First Serve Won 29

4 Second Serve Won 3

4 Break Points Saved 0

9 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 6.8

Oliver Crawford vs Alex Marti Pujolras — Prediction