ATP tennis predict — Oleksii Krutykh vs Nick Hardt

Challenger Clay Prague 2 challenger · R16 11:30

Predicted probability

Oleksii Krutykh

Ukraine

44.42%

Nick Hardt

Dominican Rep.

55.58%

Average Odds

1.82 / 1.91

Market probability

51.21% / 48.79%

Why This Prediction?

Nick Hardt is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1637 vs 1576), a stronger return game (42.9% vs 36.4% of return points won) and a higher Elo rating (1615 vs 1594).

Player Comparison

1594.2 Elo 1614.6

1576.3 Elo (surface) 1637.1

101 Wins (Challenger) 86

74 Wins (surface) 64

11 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.009 Dominance ratio 1.130

526 Rank 277

26.4 Age 25.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Oleksii Krutykh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Nick Hardt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oleksii Krutykh Nick Hardt

1st Serve In %

58.0%

66.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

59.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%

44.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%

35.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.9%

52.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.09

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.0%

60.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.9%

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.7%

48.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

33.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.4%

50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.46

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oleksii Krutykh Nick Hardt

Break Points Saved %

56.1%

42.6%

Break Points Converted %

34.2%

35.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.4%

56.5%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

42.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Oleksii Krutykh 0 – 1 Nick Hardt

Clay Prague 2 challenger · 2026-08-19

R16

Oleksii Krutykh #526

Nick Hardt #277

6-3 6-0

2 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 5

44 Service Points 57

28 First Serve In 37

22 First Serve Won 20

10 Second Serve Won 6

2 Break Points Saved 3

2 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Clay Antalya 4 CH · 2021-12-06

R32

Nick Hardt #350

Oleksii Krutykh #382

7-5 6-3

3 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 1

72 Service Points 82

41 First Serve In 53

27 First Serve Won 31

19 Second Serve Won 16

4 Break Points Saved 6

5 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Oleksii Krutykh vs Nick Hardt — Prediction