ATP tennis predict — Oleksii Krutykh vs Matias Soto

Challenger Clay Augsburg challenger · 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Oleksii Krutykh

Ukraine

55.11%

Matias Soto

Chile

44.89%

Average Odds

1.43 / 2.69

Market probability

65.29% / 34.71%

Why This Prediction?

Oleksii Krutykh is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1615 vs 1586), a stronger serve (62.3% vs 56.8% of service points won) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1604 vs 1602).

Player Comparison

1615.4 Elo 1586.4

1603.9 Elo (surface) 1602.3

104 Wins (Challenger) 74

77 Wins (surface) 61

11 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.909 Dominance ratio 1.056

453 Rank 261

26.5 Age 27.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Oleksii Krutykh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Matias Soto

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oleksii Krutykh Matias Soto

1st Serve In %

58.0%

59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

66.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%

46.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%

26.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.9%

44.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.0%

56.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.9%

74.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.7%

51.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

23.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.4%

53.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oleksii Krutykh Matias Soto

Break Points Saved %

56.1%

51.9%

Break Points Converted %

34.2%

55.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.4%

59.1%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

38.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Oleksii Krutykh 0 – 0 Matias Soto

Clay Augsburg challenger · 2026-08-25

1. round

Matias Soto #261

Oleksii Krutykh #453

6-3 6-4

4 Aces 5

3 Double Faults 0

56 Service Points 49

33 First Serve In 26

24 First Serve Won 22

10 Second Serve Won 15

5 Break Points Saved 0

8 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.7 Average Odds 1.4

Oleksii Krutykh vs Matias Soto — Prediction