ATP tennis predict — Oleksii Krutykh vs Luka Mikrut

Challenger Clay Braga challenger · R16 14:00

Predicted probability

Oleksii Krutykh

Ukraine

22.58%

Luka Mikrut

Croatia

77.42%

Average Odds

4.09 / 1.21

Market probability

22.83% / 77.17%

Why This Prediction?

Luka Mikrut is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1926 vs 1628), a higher Elo rating (1857 vs 1640) and a stronger serve (66.2% vs 62.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1639.7 Elo 1857.4

1628.0 Elo (surface) 1925.5

108 Wins (Challenger) 66

81 Wins (surface) 59

11 Last 15 form 13

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.980 Dominance ratio 1.032

456 Rank 167

26.6 Age 22.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Oleksii Krutykh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Luka Mikrut

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–1L · 87.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oleksii Krutykh Luka Mikrut

1st Serve In %

58.0%

59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%

56.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%

25.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.9%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.9%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

67.3%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.5%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oleksii Krutykh Luka Mikrut

Break Points Saved %

56.1%

55.2%

Break Points Converted %

34.2%

28.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

38.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Oleksii Krutykh and Luka Mikrut have never played each other.

Oleksii Krutykh vs Luka Mikrut — Prediction