ATP tennis predict — Oleksii Krutykh vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

Challenger Clay Hagen challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Oleksii Krutykh

Ukraine

47.70%

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

Argentina

52.30%

Average Odds

1.70 / 2.05

Market probability

54.67% / 45.33%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1556.1 Elo 1541.2

1543.5 Elo (surface) 1565.5

95 Wins (Challenger) 64

70 Wins (surface) 63

8 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.217 Dominance ratio 0.929

527 Rank 311

26.4 Age 22.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Oleksii Krutykh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oleksii Krutykh Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

1st Serve In %

58.0%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.9%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.21

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.0%

59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.9%

62.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.7%

53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

34.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.4%

48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oleksii Krutykh Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

Break Points Saved %

56.1%

—

Break Points Converted %

34.2%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.4%

43.3%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

45.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Oleksii Krutykh 0 – 0 Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

Clay Prague 2 challenger · 2026-08-17

qualification - round of 16

Oleksii Krutykh #526

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi #319

6-4 6-1

2 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 0

54 Service Points 42

30 First Serve In 22

18 First Serve Won 19

11 Second Serve Won 15

5 Break Points Saved 0

9 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Oleksii Krutykh #527

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi #311

6-3 6-1

0 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 1

51 Service Points 53

24 First Serve In 31

21 First Serve Won 16

15 Second Serve Won 10

3 Break Points Saved 2

3 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.0

Oleksii Krutykh vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi — Prediction