ATP tennis predict — Oleksii Krutykh vs Javier Barranco Cosano

Challenger Clay Braga challenger · 1. round 12:30

Predicted probability

Oleksii Krutykh

Ukraine

42.40%

Javier Barranco Cosano

Spain

57.60%

Average Odds

1.62 / 2.19

Market probability

57.48% / 42.52%

Why This Prediction?

Javier Barranco Cosano is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (46.4% vs 37.4% of return points won), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1617 vs 1611) and more career match wins (125 vs 107).

Player Comparison

1625.0 Elo 1632.1

1611.2 Elo (surface) 1617.4

107 Wins (Challenger) 125

80 Wins (surface) 100

11 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.980 Dominance ratio 1.023

456 Rank 577

26.6 Age 27.9

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Oleksii Krutykh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Javier Barranco Cosano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-08-16.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oleksii Krutykh Javier Barranco Cosano

1st Serve In %

58.0%

64.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

63.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%

26.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.9%

51.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.4%

57.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.8%

67.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

41.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.6%

38.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

57.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.13

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oleksii Krutykh Javier Barranco Cosano

Break Points Saved %

56.1%

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

34.2%

44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.6%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

49.3%

48.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Oleksii Krutykh 0 – 1 Javier Barranco Cosano

Clay Braga CH · 2023-09-25

Q2

Javier Barranco Cosano #385

Oleksii Krutykh #244

7-5 3-6 6-3

4 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 5

93 Service Points 98

69 First Serve In 48

45 First Serve Won 36

13 Second Serve Won 23

7 Break Points Saved 5

10 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Oleksii Krutykh vs Javier Barranco Cosano — Prediction