ATP tennis predict — Oleksii Krutykh vs Francisco Rocha

Challenger Clay Braga challenger · qualification - 1. round 15:30

Predicted probability

Oleksii Krutykh

Ukraine

76.82%

Francisco Rocha

Portugal

23.18%

Average Odds

1.17 / 4.45

Market probability

79.18% / 20.82%

Why This Prediction?

Oleksii Krutykh is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1605 vs 1379), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1585 vs 1406) and more wins on clay courts (78 vs 7).

Player Comparison

1604.6 Elo 1379.2

1585.0 Elo (surface) 1405.5

105 Wins (Challenger) 10

78 Wins (surface) 7

10 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.980 Dominance ratio 0.907

449 Rank 912

26.6 Age 27.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Oleksii Krutykh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Francisco Rocha

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-07-18.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oleksii Krutykh Francisco Rocha

1st Serve In %

58.0%

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

63.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%

46.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%

36.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.9%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.0%

52.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.9%

67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.7%

49.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.4%

43.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oleksii Krutykh Francisco Rocha

Break Points Saved %

56.1%

41.7%

Break Points Converted %

34.2%

30.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.4%

59.4%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Oleksii Krutykh and Francisco Rocha have never played each other.

Oleksii Krutykh vs Francisco Rocha — Prediction