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Oleksii Krutykh vs Filip Pieczonka — Prediction

Challenger Clay Braga challenger · qualification - round of 16 12:30

Predicted probability

Oleksii Krutykh

Ukraine

55.66%

Filip Pieczonka

Poland

44.34%

Average Odds

1.83  /  1.88

Market probability

50.67%  /  49.33%

Why This Prediction?

Oleksii Krutykh is the favorite because he has more wins on clay courts (79 vs 10), fewer double faults per game (0.08 vs 0.21) and a stronger return game (37.4% vs 37.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1610.8 Elo 1604.0
1593.7 Elo (surface) 1611.7
106 Wins (Challenger) 16
79 Wins (surface) 10
10 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.980 Dominance ratio 0.904
449 Rank 902
26.6 Age 22.5
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Oleksii Krutykh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Filip Pieczonka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oleksii Krutykh Filip Pieczonka

1st Serve In %

58.0%
—

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%
—

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.6%
—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.9%
—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.9%
—

Aces per Service Game

0.21
—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.2%
54.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.0%
68.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.7%
45.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.4%
29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.4%
59.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.24
0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17
0.41

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oleksii Krutykh Filip Pieczonka

Break Points Saved %

56.1%
—

Break Points Converted %

34.2%
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.2%
67.8%

Break Points Converted %

51.8%
43.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Oleksii Krutykh and Filip Pieczonka have never played each other.

Oleksii Krutykh — Last 10

W L W L W W L W W W

Filip Pieczonka — Last 10

W L W W W L L L W W