ATP tennis predict — Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Robert Strombachs

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 1. round 09:00

Predicted probability

Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Ukraine

53.47%

Robert Strombachs

Latvia

46.53%

Average Odds

1.39 / 2.81

Market probability

66.90% / 33.10%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1542.5 Elo 1523.0

1588.8 Elo (surface) 1507.7

17 Wins (Challenger) 43

12 Wins (surface) 20

7 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.990 Dominance ratio 0.868

629 Rank 415

24.9 Age 27.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-08-16.

Robert Strombachs

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko Robert Strombachs

1st Serve In %

—

61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

71.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

41.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

25.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

44.7%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.0%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.1%

72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.3%

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.7%

41.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko Robert Strombachs

Break Points Saved %

—

65.4%

Break Points Converted %

—

26.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.0%

42.9%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

47.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Oleksandr Ovcharenko 0 – 0 Robert Strombachs

Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 2026-09-01

1. round

Oleksandr Ovcharenko #629

Robert Strombachs #415

6-2 7-6

2 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 5

62 Service Points 70

45 First Serve In 45

38 First Serve Won 33

7 Second Serve Won 11

1 Break Points Saved 3

2 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.8

Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Robert Strombachs — Prediction