ATP tennis predict — Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Pierluigi Basile

Challenger Clay Bari challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:00

Predicted probability

Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Ukraine

43.40%

Pierluigi Basile

Italy

56.60%

Average Odds

2.18 / 1.61

Market probability

42.48% / 57.52%

Why This Prediction?

Pierluigi Basile is the favorite because he has the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1604.3 Elo 1572.5

1650.7 Elo (surface) 1583.8

20 Wins (Challenger) 17

15 Wins (surface) 16

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.210 Dominance ratio 1.060

615 Rank 542

25.0 Age 19.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-08-16.

Pierluigi Basile

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko Pierluigi Basile

1st Serve In %

—

63.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

47.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

22.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

36.5%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.3%

57.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.4%

66.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

43.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%

36.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.0%

56.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko Pierluigi Basile

Break Points Saved %

—

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

21.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

54.4%

Break Points Converted %

42.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Oleksandr Ovcharenko and Pierluigi Basile have never played each other.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Pierluigi Basile — Prediction