ATP tennis predict — Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Franco Ribero

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:00

Predicted probability

Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Ukraine

46.75%

Franco Ribero

Argentina

53.25%

Average Odds

1.18 / 4.09

Market probability

77.61% / 22.39%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1522.2 Elo 1442.7

1565.4 Elo (surface) 1458.1

16 Wins (Challenger) 29

11 Wins (surface) 29

6 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.960 Dominance ratio 0.879

629 Rank 707

24.9 Age 27.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-08-16.

Franco Ribero

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko Franco Ribero

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

64.0%

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.1%

60.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.3%

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

33.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.7%

51.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko Franco Ribero

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

56.0%

51.8%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Oleksandr Ovcharenko 0 – 0 Franco Ribero

Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 2026-08-31

qualification - round of 16

Oleksandr Ovcharenko #629

Franco Ribero #707

6-4 6-2

2 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 3

50 Service Points 76

39 First Serve In 50

31 First Serve Won 34

6 Second Serve Won 9

0 Break Points Saved 7

0 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.1

Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Franco Ribero — Prediction