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Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Dimitris Sakellaridis — Prediction

Challenger Clay Catania challenger · qualification - 1. round 16:30

Predicted probability

Average Odds

1.47  /  2.48

Market probability

62.78%  /  37.22%

Why This Prediction?

Oleksandr Ovcharenko is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1590 vs 1523), a stronger serve (68.2% vs 59.8% of service points won) and better recent form (2 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1558.7 Elo 1504.9
1590.3 Elo (surface) 1523.1
21 Wins (Challenger) 11
16 Wins (surface) 8
9 Last 15 form 8
1 Head-to-head wins 0
1.210 Dominance ratio 1.078
616 Rank 559
25.0 Age 20.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-08-16.

Dimitris Sakellaridis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko Dimitris Sakellaridis

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

67.3%
77.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

79.3%
53.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%
64.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%
41.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.1%
63.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.31
0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24
0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko Dimitris Sakellaridis

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

60.4%
47.8%

Break Points Converted %

43.9%
45.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Oleksandr Ovcharenko 1 – 0 Dimitris Sakellaridis

Clay Sion challenger · 2026-08-17

qualification - round of 16

Oleksandr Ovcharenko #617

Dimitris Sakellaridis #562

3-6 6-3 6-4
5 Aces 1
5 Double Faults 2
92 Service Points 77
51 First Serve In 60
30 First Serve Won 32
15 Second Serve Won 11
10 Break Points Saved 4
17 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Oleksandr Ovcharenko — Last 10

L W L W L W W W W L

Dimitris Sakellaridis — Last 10

L W W L W L W L W L