ATP tennis predict — Oleg Prihodko vs Maxim Mrva

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Oleg Prihodko

Ukraine

24.29%

Maxim Mrva

Czech Republic

75.71%

Average Odds

3.26 / 1.30

Market probability

28.51% / 71.49%

Why This Prediction?

Maxim Mrva is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1738 vs 1558), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1758 vs 1573) and a stronger return game (44.5% vs 36.9% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1557.6 Elo 1737.9

1573.0 Elo (surface) 1757.9

70 Wins (Challenger) 52

52 Wins (surface) 37

7 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.082 Dominance ratio 1.020

411 Rank 212

28.9 Age 19.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Oleg Prihodko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Maxim Mrva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–3L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oleg Prihodko Maxim Mrva

1st Serve In %

56.9%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

62.2%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.9%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.40

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.6%

56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.7%

61.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.5%

48.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.9%

40.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.9%

48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Oleg Prihodko Maxim Mrva

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

—

Break Points Converted %

14.3%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.1%

47.9%

Break Points Converted %

48.0%

48.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Oleg Prihodko 0 – 0 Maxim Mrva

Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 2026-09-01

1. round

Maxim Mrva #212

Oleg Prihodko #411

7-5 6-7 6-1

4 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 6

111 Service Points 108

62 First Serve In 53

38 First Serve Won 38

20 Second Serve Won 28

11 Break Points Saved 5

18 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Oleg Prihodko vs Maxim Mrva — Prediction