ATP tennis predict — Ognjen Milic vs Alex Barrena

Challenger Clay Tulln challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Ognjen Milic

Serbia

37.92%

Alex Barrena

Argentina

62.08%

Average Odds

2.30 / 1.57

Market probability

40.57% / 59.43%

Why This Prediction?

Alex Barrena is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1595 vs 1454), a higher Elo rating (1570 vs 1493) and a stronger return game (42.1% vs 39.5% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1493.1 Elo 1569.8

1454.4 Elo (surface) 1595.4

15 Wins (Challenger) 80

5 Wins (surface) 80

7 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.818 Dominance ratio 1.014

345 Rank 235

19.2 Age 23.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ognjen Milic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-24.

Alex Barrena

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–2L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ognjen Milic Alex Barrena

1st Serve In %

—

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

46.9%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.6%

53.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.4%

54.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.7%

40.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.7%

38.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.1%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ognjen Milic Alex Barrena

Break Points Saved %

—

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

—

45.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

48.2%

Break Points Converted %

45.2%

36.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ognjen Milic 0 – 0 Alex Barrena

Clay Tulln challenger · 2026-09-07

1. round

Alex Barrena #235

Ognjen Milic #345

3-6 6-2 6-3

2 Aces 2

5 Double Faults 2

93 Service Points 75

49 First Serve In 40

26 First Serve Won 25

20 Second Serve Won 17

11 Break Points Saved 4

18 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Ognjen Milic vs Alex Barrena — Prediction