ATP tennis predict — Nuno Borges vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry

ATP Hard Montreal · 2. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Nuno Borges

Portugal

62.61%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Argentina

37.39%

Average Odds

1.51 / 2.54

Market probability

62.72% / 37.28%

Why This Prediction?

Nuno Borges is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1776 vs 1697), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1723 vs 1678) and a stronger return game (38.2% vs 35.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1775.9 Elo 1697.3

1722.8 Elo (surface) 1678.2

106 Wins 133

57 Wins (surface) 51

9 Last 15 form 5

3 Head-to-head wins 0

1.169 Dominance ratio 1.113

55 Rank 30

29.5 Age 27.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nuno Borges

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–6L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nuno Borges Tomas Martin Etcheverry

1st Serve In %

58.8%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.9%

73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

52.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%

47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.66

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.4%

68.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.5%

72.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%

50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nuno Borges Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Break Points Saved %

56.1%

57.7%

Break Points Converted %

31.2%

39.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.2%

64.8%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nuno Borges 3 – 0 Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-05

2. round

Nuno Borges #55

Tomas Martin Etcheverry #30

6-4 6-2

8 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 4

52 Service Points 80

35 First Serve In 53

29 First Serve Won 31

10 Second Serve Won 13

2 Break Points Saved 11

2 Break Points Faced 14

22 Winners 11

30 Unforced Errors 33

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Clay French Open · 2026-05-24

1. round

Nuno Borges #51

Tomas Martin Etcheverry #28

6-3 6-4 6-2

3 Aces 8

5 Double Faults 3

88 Service Points 91

54 First Serve In 57

29 First Serve Won 41

17 Second Serve Won 18

6 Break Points Saved 8

12 Break Points Faced 10

12 Winners 36

32 Unforced Errors 29

2.9 Average Odds 1.4

Clay Barcelona · 2026-04-13

R16

Nuno Borges #52

Tomas Martin Etcheverry #29

6-3 7-6(4)

5 Aces 0

5 Double Faults 4

83 Service Points 65

46 First Serve In 36

37 First Serve Won 21

20 Second Serve Won 19

4 Break Points Saved 6

5 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Auckland · 2026-01-12

R32

Nuno Borges #46

Tomas Martin Etcheverry #61

7-5 3-6 7-6(2)

8 Aces 6

2 Double Faults 2

108 Service Points 91

80 First Serve In 51

63 First Serve Won 42

13 Second Serve Won 28

2 Break Points Saved 0

3 Break Points Faced 1