ATP tennis predict — Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakis

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 1. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Nuno Borges

Portugal

45.77%

Thanasi Kokkinakis

Australia

54.23%

Average Odds

1.49 / 2.63

Market probability

63.83% / 36.17%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1784.1 Elo 1761.1

1722.5 Elo (surface) 1764.1

108 Wins 151

59 Wins (surface) 118

10 Last 15 form 7

2 Head-to-head wins 0

1.112 Dominance ratio 1.001

55 Rank 434

29.5 Age 30.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nuno Borges

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Thanasi Kokkinakis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nuno Borges Thanasi Kokkinakis

1st Serve In %

58.8%

63.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.9%

77.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

51.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%

27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%

44.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.66

0.88

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.4%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.5%

74.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

51.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

33.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%

47.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.74

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nuno Borges Thanasi Kokkinakis

Break Points Saved %

56.1%

71.4%

Break Points Converted %

31.2%

41.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.2%

64.7%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

48.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nuno Borges 2 – 0 Thanasi Kokkinakis

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-14

1. round

Nuno Borges #55

Thanasi Kokkinakis #434

5-7 7-6 7-6

18 Aces 20

3 Double Faults 5

102 Service Points 119

67 First Serve In 64

59 First Serve Won 52

17 Second Serve Won 30

0 Break Points Saved 5

2 Break Points Faced 6

44 Winners 42

36 Unforced Errors 55

1.5 Average Odds 2.6

Hard Us Open · 2024-08-26

R64

Nuno Borges #34

Thanasi Kokkinakis #86

6-4 7-5 7-5

9 Aces 10

3 Double Faults 6

100 Service Points 114

58 First Serve In 51

45 First Serve Won 43

28 Second Serve Won 26

5 Break Points Saved 8

6 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Phoenix CH · 2024-03-11

QF

Nuno Borges #60

Thanasi Kokkinakis #99

7-6(1) 6-1

6 Aces 8

2 Double Faults 5

76 Service Points 61

45 First Serve In 31

36 First Serve Won 24

16 Second Serve Won 13

9 Break Points Saved 2

9 Break Points Faced 5