ATP tennis predict — Nuno Borges vs Grigor Dimitrov

ATP Clay Bastad · R16

Predicted probability

Nuno Borges

Portugal

54.02%

Grigor Dimitrov

Bulgaria

45.98%

Average Odds

1.48 / 2.63

Market probability

63.99% / 36.01%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1777.5 Elo 1819.9

1771.5 Elo (surface) 1719.0

103 Wins 514

35 Wins (surface) 114

9 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 1

1.190 Dominance ratio 0.903

52 Rank 146

29.4 Age 35.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nuno Borges

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Grigor Dimitrov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nuno Borges Grigor Dimitrov

1st Serve In %

58.8%

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.9%

71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%

24.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%

50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.66

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.4%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.5%

77.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nuno Borges Grigor Dimitrov

Break Points Saved %

56.1%

48.3%

Break Points Converted %

31.2%

42.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.2%

70.0%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nuno Borges 1 – 1 Grigor Dimitrov

Clay Bastad · 2026-07-15

R16

Nuno Borges #52

Grigor Dimitrov #146

6-4 6-2

4 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 2

50 Service Points 49

39 First Serve In 28

29 First Serve Won 18

6 Second Serve Won 7

1 Break Points Saved 1

2 Break Points Faced 5

20 Winners 13

17 Unforced Errors 25

1.5 Average Odds 2.6

Hard Indian Wells Masters · 2025-03-05

R64

Grigor Dimitrov #15

Nuno Borges #36

6-3 6-4

6 Aces 2

5 Double Faults 2

76 Service Points 60

46 First Serve In 41

36 First Serve Won 26

14 Second Serve Won 9

7 Break Points Saved 5

8 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Australian Open · 2024-01-15

R32

Nuno Borges #69

Grigor Dimitrov #13

6-7(3) 6-4 6-2 7-6(6)

21 Aces 11

4 Double Faults 2

150 Service Points 118

103 First Serve In 72

80 First Serve Won 57

22 Second Serve Won 25

11 Break Points Saved 3

12 Break Points Faced 7