ATP tennis predict — Nuno Borges vs Francisco Cerundolo

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 2. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Nuno Borges

Portugal

53.00%

Francisco Cerundolo

Argentina

47.00%

Average Odds

1.76 / 2.05

Market probability

53.81% / 46.19%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1794.9 Elo 1879.0

1739.9 Elo (surface) 1744.5

109 Wins 187

60 Wins (surface) 65

10 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 1

1.165 Dominance ratio 0.885

55 Rank 23

29.5 Age 28.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nuno Borges

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Francisco Cerundolo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nuno Borges Francisco Cerundolo

1st Serve In %

58.8%

53.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.9%

70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%

25.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%

51.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.66

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.4%

69.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.5%

67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

54.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

32.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nuno Borges Francisco Cerundolo

Break Points Saved %

56.1%

65.2%

Break Points Converted %

31.2%

34.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.2%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

47.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nuno Borges 1 – 1 Francisco Cerundolo

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-16

2. round

Nuno Borges #47

Francisco Cerundolo #25

6-4 6-4

5 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 2

50 Service Points 63

30 First Serve In 30

28 First Serve Won 20

11 Second Serve Won 18

1 Break Points Saved 5

2 Break Points Faced 8

17 Winners 11

26 Unforced Errors 31

1.8 Average Odds 2.0

Grass Wimbledon · 2025-06-30

R128

Nuno Borges #37

Francisco Cerundolo #19

4-6 6-3 7-6(5) 6-0

9 Aces 5

0 Double Faults 4

113 Service Points 116

77 First Serve In 81

58 First Serve Won 54

23 Second Serve Won 14

7 Break Points Saved 8

10 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Grass Wimbledon · 2023-07-03

R128

Francisco Cerundolo #19

Nuno Borges #69

5-7 6-3 6-3 6-4

11 Aces 5

8 Double Faults 9

123 Service Points 169

76 First Serve In 106

60 First Serve Won 70

22 Second Serve Won 26

6 Break Points Saved 17

8 Break Points Faced 22