ATP tennis predict — Nuno Borges vs Facundo Diaz Acosta

ATP Hard Shanghai · 1. round 04:00

Predicted probability

Nuno Borges

Portugal

72.58%

Facundo Diaz Acosta

Argentina

27.42%

Average Odds

1.25 / 3.83

Market probability

75.39% / 24.61%

Why This Prediction?

Nuno Borges is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1874 vs 1578), a higher Elo rating (1949 vs 1889) and more wins on hard courts (62 vs 9).

Player Comparison

1948.8 Elo 1889.0

1874.4 Elo (surface) 1577.8

111 Wins 33

62 Wins (surface) 9

9 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.107 Dominance ratio 1.040

51 Rank 69

29.6 Age 25.8

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nuno Borges

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Facundo Diaz Acosta

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–2L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nuno Borges Facundo Diaz Acosta

1st Serve In %

58.7%

65.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

79.8%

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.2%

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.70

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.4%

69.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.5%

70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

62.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

40.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%

53.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nuno Borges Facundo Diaz Acosta

Break Points Saved %

57.9%

57.1%

Break Points Converted %

29.6%

48.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.2%

76.6%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

48.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nuno Borges and Facundo Diaz Acosta have never played each other.

Nuno Borges vs Facundo Diaz Acosta — Prediction