ATP tennis predict — Nuno Borges vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

ATP Hard Montreal · 1. round

Predicted probability

Nuno Borges

Portugal

60.52%

Aleksandar Kovacevic

USA

39.48%

Average Odds

1.42 / 2.87

Market probability

66.90% / 33.10%

Why This Prediction?

Nuno Borges is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1767 vs 1683), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1711 vs 1634) and a stronger return game (39.1% vs 34.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1767.0 Elo 1682.5

1710.6 Elo (surface) 1633.6

105 Wins 80

56 Wins (surface) 60

8 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.176 Dominance ratio 1.135

55 Rank 95

29.4 Age 27.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Nuno Borges

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nuno Borges Aleksandar Kovacevic

1st Serve In %

58.8%

55.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.9%

77.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%

20.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%

46.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.66

0.74

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.4%

61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.5%

72.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

27.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%

47.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.57

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Nuno Borges Aleksandar Kovacevic

Break Points Saved %

56.1%

67.2%

Break Points Converted %

31.2%

36.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.2%

62.3%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Nuno Borges 0 – 1 Aleksandar Kovacevic

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-04

1. round

Nuno Borges #55

Aleksandar Kovacevic #95

6-7 6-2 6-4

4 Aces 16

7 Double Faults 4

105 Service Points 93

50 First Serve In 63

37 First Serve Won 49

26 Second Serve Won 18

4 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 5

21 Winners 38

45 Unforced Errors 37

1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Hard Shenzhen CH · 2023-10-09

F

Aleksandar Kovacevic #146

Nuno Borges #85

7-6(4) 7-6(5)

5 Aces 14

4 Double Faults 4

74 Service Points 81

42 First Serve In 53

32 First Serve Won 40

18 Second Serve Won 12

0 Break Points Saved 6

1 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Nuno Borges vs Aleksandar Kovacevic — Prediction