ATP tennis predict — Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 2. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Novak Djokovic

Serbia

74.91%

Thiago Agustin Tirante

Argentina

25.09%

Average Odds

1.25 / 3.94

Market probability

75.92% / 24.08%

Why This Prediction?

Novak Djokovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (2028 vs 1757), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (2097 vs 1674) and more wins on hard courts (754 vs 27).

Player Comparison

2028.0 Elo 1756.8

2097.4 Elo (surface) 1673.8

1202 Wins 64

754 Wins (surface) 27

11 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.814 Dominance ratio 0.961

5 Rank 65

39.2 Age 25.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Novak Djokovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Thiago Agustin Tirante

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Novak Djokovic Thiago Agustin Tirante

1st Serve In %

64.7%

55.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.0%

76.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%

57.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%

25.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.1%

49.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.70

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

—

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

74.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

28.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.68

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Novak Djokovic Thiago Agustin Tirante

Break Points Saved %

60.8%

69.4%

Break Points Converted %

25.6%

36.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

—

54.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

41.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Novak Djokovic 0 – 0 Thiago Agustin Tirante

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-15

2. round

Thiago Agustin Tirante #65

Novak Djokovic #5

2-6 6-4 6-4

5 Aces 13

7 Double Faults 5

111 Service Points 83

60 First Serve In 49

47 First Serve Won 43

22 Second Serve Won 15

13 Break Points Saved 4

15 Break Points Faced 6

25 Winners 40

40 Unforced Errors 37

3.9 Average Odds 1.2

Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirante — Prediction