ATP tennis predict — Norbert Gombos vs Samir Hamza Reguig

Challenger Clay Liberec challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Norbert Gombos

Slovakia

66.86%

Samir Hamza Reguig

Algeria

33.14%

Average Odds

1.04 / 9.49

Market probability

90.12% / 9.88%

Why This Prediction?

Norbert Gombos is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1628 vs 1525), more wins on clay courts (166 vs 3) and a stronger serve (62.9% vs 54.0% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1638.2 Elo 1590.2

1628.4 Elo (surface) 1525.1

321 Wins (Challenger) 5

166 Wins (surface) 3

9 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.075 Dominance ratio 0.907

366 Rank 681

36.0 Age 24.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Norbert Gombos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–1L · 92.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–8L · 11.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

35 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Samir Hamza Reguig

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Norbert Gombos Samir Hamza Reguig

1st Serve In %

58.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

73.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.54

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.0%

58.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.4%

61.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

43.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.9%

34.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

48.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.51

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Norbert Gombos Samir Hamza Reguig

Break Points Saved %

70.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.2%

56.8%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

45.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Norbert Gombos 0 – 0 Samir Hamza Reguig

Clay Liberec challenger · 2026-07-26

qualification - 1. round

Norbert Gombos #669

Samir Hamza Reguig #957

6-0 2-0

2 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 3

18 Service Points 25

6 First Serve In 17

6 First Serve Won 5

10 Second Serve Won 2

0 Break Points Saved 2

0 Break Points Faced 6

10 Winners 1

7 Unforced Errors 19

1.0 Average Odds 9.5

Norbert Gombos vs Samir Hamza Reguig — Prediction